Sub Saharan Africa

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Articles

Burkina Faso’s Gamble on Negotiating With Jihadists Could Backfire

03 Aug 2021 - 11:31
Constantin Gouvy
Source: ©Reuters - Soldiers from Burkina Faso patrol on the road of Gorgadji in the Sahel area, Burkina Faso March 3, 2019
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This article was previously published by WPR on 3 August 2021.

 

Research

Business and Fragility

Articles

Designed in Ethiopia; made in China 'a widening partnership'

30 Jul 2021 - 10:47
Jos Meester
Source: Addis Ababa, symbol of Chinafrique. Chinese builders are building everywhere and quickly in the Ethiopian capital © Reuters
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The widening partnership brings both benefits and risks to the African country
While there are risks associated with Chinese engagement in ICT in Ethiopia, the value generated through the partnerships and businesses it develops is tangible, domestically appreciated and frequently not a Chinese-centrally orchestrated push towards surveillance.

Research

Migration

Articles

Examining the migration development nexus in Kayes Region, Mali

28 Jul 2021 - 11:03
Source: © Flickr / EU Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid
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To what extent are migration aspirations influenced by development assistance? This study focuses on Malian residents and returning migrants from the region of Kayes, as well as on migrants in transit in Bamako and the northern city of Gao.
External authors
Fransje Molenaar - former senior research fellow at the Clingendael Institute
Anna Schmauder - former Research Fellow at Clingendael’s Conflict Research Unit

Research

Climate Change

Reports and papers

NCEA Advice on Sustainable programme development in Somalia

14 Jul 2021 - 14:04
Jos Meester
Source: Vladimir Lysenko (Wikimedia Commons)
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The advisory report elaborates on climate impact on Somalia and the political economic constraints on climate impact.

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Reports and papers

COVID-19-Related Opportunities for Terrorist Groups

30 Jun 2021 - 10:58
Kars de Bruijne
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Thriving on Uncertainty

This report has previously been published by EuroMeSCo.

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Reports and papers

Nord du Bénin: risque de propagation de l'extrémisme violent

10 Jun 2021 - 16:25
Kars de Bruijne
Source: © Julien Gerard
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Loi de l’attraction
Depuis de nombreuses années, plusieurs chercheurs mettent en garde contre le risque de débordement de la violence du Sahel vers les États dits côtiers. Le Directeur général des services de renseignement extérieur français (DGSE), Bernard Émié, a récemment désigné le Bénin et la Côte d’Ivoire comme étant en danger imminent.

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Reports and papers

Northern Benin and risk of violent extremist spillover

10 Jun 2021 - 12:00
Kars de Bruijne
Source: © Julien Gerard
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Laws of Attraction
This report explores the risk of extremist violence spilling over into northern Benin from the Sahel. What are the main drivers of communal violence in Benin, do extremist exploit them & what can be done to limit the threat?

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Reports and papers

Financial disruption and fragile markets

17 May 2021 - 19:16
Jos Meester
Claire Elder
Guido Lanfranchi
Source: A fruit vendor in Mogadishu physically distancing © Feisal Omar/Reuters
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A political-economic perspective on SMEs in the Somali private sector under COVID-19
This report explores SME growth and resilience in the fragile Somali context during the COVID-19 pandemic, including its relation to wider political-economic developments.
Guido Lanfranchi

Guido Lanfranchi

Research Fellow

Expertise

  • Conflict and Fragility
  • Business and Fragility

Regions

  • Sub Saharan Africa

Guido Lanfranchi is a research fellow at Clingendael’s Conflict Research Unit (CRU). He contributes to CRU’s Horn of Africa programme, focusing on Sudan, Ethiopia and Somalia. Guido’s research interests revolve around the interplay between economic, political and security dynamics, with a focus on how economic interests and business elites shape governance arrangements and conflict patterns. Guido also conducts research on geopolitical dynamics in the Horn of Africa, including the engagement of various foreign powers (Russia, China, Arab Gulf states, etc.).

My work

15

Publications

Conflict and Fragility

Internet Lifeline Sudan

11 April 2024 - 11:23
Guido Lanfranchi
+1
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Europe in the World

Christmas Reads 2023

20 December 2023 - 12:30
Monika Sie Dhian Ho
+10
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Europe in the World

The European Union in a crowded Horn of Africa

19 December 2023 - 14:59
Guido Lanfranchi
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Conflict and Fragility

Kleptocracy versus Democracy

10 November 2023 - 15:13
Conflict and Fragility

Promoting diaspora investment in fragile settings: The case of Somalia

30 August 2023 - 09:00
Conflict and Fragility

Experts Insights: Sudan

23 June 2023 - 10:00
Conflict and Fragility

To stop the war in Sudan, bankrupt the warlords

03 May 2023 - 15:59
Conflict and Fragility

Europe’s re-engagement with Ethiopia

01 February 2023 - 09:51
Europe in the World

Christmas reads & must-watch videos 2022

22 December 2022 - 09:00
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Research

Conflict and Fragility

Reports and papers

Entre espoir et désespoir: Adaptation pastorale au Burkina Faso

24 Mar 2021 - 10:26
Kars de Bruijne
Source: USAID/Riccardo Gangale
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Note de synthèse
En juillet 2020, l’hebdomadaire Jeune Afrique a publié un article sur les liens entre le pastoralisme et les organisations extrémistes violentes (OEV) au Sahel.
External authors
Loïc Bisson - former former junior researcher at the Clingendael Institute
Ine Cottyn - former research fellow at the Clingendael Institute
Fransje Molenaar - former senior research fellow at the Clingendael Institute
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