Middle East & North Africa

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Conflict and Fragility

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Examining the interplay between elites and social movements in Jordan

25 Jun 2024 - 15:29
Matteo Colombo
Source: ©Reuters - People hold Palestinian flags as Jordanians gather during a protest in support of Palestinians in Gaza,
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Never waste a good protest
In Jordan, elites and social movements commonly develop vertical ties instead of different social movements working together to press for change bottom-up, as is more usual elsewhere.

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Reports and papers

Early Warning, Early Action

11 Jun 2024 - 10:53
Jos Meester
Erwin van Veen
Moneera Yassien
Source: ©Trump White House/Flickr
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An assessment of conflict potential in the Middle East in relation to Dutch national interests

Over the past three decades, interest in understanding, predicting and preventing violent conflict across different fragile and conflict-affected situations has soared. The focus on conflict prevention recognises not only the imperative of preventing the steep human costs associated with violent conflict and donor interests in stability in key regions across the world, but also rests on the idea that conflict prevention is cost-effective.

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Articles

How to complete the revolution? Khamenei´s vision and its disruption after Raisi´s death

03 Jun 2024 - 11:46
Source: Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Hosseini Khamenei(L) and late Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi ©Reuters
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By Azadeh Zamirirad

Editor’s introduction

External authors
Azadeh Zamirirad - Deputy Head Africa & MidEast Division at SWP Berlin

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Articles

Book: Armed Organizations and Political Elites in Civil Wars

29 May 2024 - 09:44
Erwin van Veen
Source: Book cover
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Pathways to Power in Syria and Iraq
This book 'Pathways to Power in Syria and Iraq' examines the relation between political settlements and civil war outbreak with a focus on options for violence available to elite factions in different settlements and at different moments in time.

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Articles

Israel's strategic peril

28 May 2024 - 13:35
Erwin van Veen
Source: Israeli flags wave as smoke rises in Gaza / Reuters
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The ongoing offensive on Rafah suggests that Israel is on the cusp of emerging victoriously from its eight month-plus rampage to destroy Hamas, as well as the Gaza strip. However, despite the rough estimate of 30-40,000 deaths and sky-high piles of rubbles that the World Bank estimates at USD 18 billion in reconstruction cost, the movement remains resilient.

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Reports and papers

A scramble for legitimacy: Iraq’s political elites since the October 2019 protests

22 May 2024 - 10:18
Source: Reuters
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Iraqi political elites exhibited a variety of responses to the 2019 October protests, the largest demonstrations in post-2003 Iraq.
External authors
Marsin Alshamary - Assistant professor political science at Boston College and non-resident fellow at Brookings Institution

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Articles

Tehran’s perpetual motion: The threat of war abroad and contested legitimacy at home

30 Apr 2024 - 11:30
Hamidreza Azizi
Erwin van Veen
Source: ©Reuters - A young girl is looking on as veiled Iranian women are praying during a religious ceremony to commemorate the death anniversary of Fatima, the daughter of Prophet Mohammad, in downtown Tehran, Iran, on December 17, 2023.
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By Hamidreza Azizi and Erwin van Veen

Editor’s introduction

Research

Conflict and Fragility

Policy briefs

How the Aid Fund for Northern Syria can upgrade humanitarian aid and EU geopolitical engagement

29 Apr 2024 - 11:03
Erwin van Veen
Source: ©Reuters - The United Nations enters a humanitarian aid convoy into northern Syria through the Bab al-Hawa border crossing with Turkey after a months-long hiatus
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UN bureaucratic inertia, weak leadership, Stockholm syndrome and a laissez-faire attitude by donors have allowed structural problems with humanitarian aid delivery in Syria to persist for too long.
External authors
Lars Hauch - research director at Conflict Mediation Solutions
Mirte Bosch

Mirte Bosch

Academy Programme Fellow

Expertise

  • Humanitarian negotiation
  • Negotiation & mediation in conflict resolution

Regions

  • Middle East & North Africa

Mirte Bosch joined the Clingendael Institute as Academy Programme Fellow in April 2024. Within Clingendael, Mirte is involved in programmes in the field of conflict resolution and peace negotiations, as well as humanitarian negotiations. 

My work

1

News

News

Enhancing Regional Mediation Support to Peace Processes

20 June 2024 - 16:46
Gabriëlla Vogelaar
+3
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Paula Stuurman

Paula Stuurman

Academy Project Fellow

Expertise

  • Diplomatic practice
  • International security
  • Institutional development

Regions

  • Middle East & North Africa

Paula Stuurman joined the Clingendael Institute in April 2024 as an Academy Project Fellow. In this role, Paula primarily works on the development, coordination, and implementation of training programmes in the international security sector for Dutch and international audiences. In addition, Paula works on capacity building and diplomatic practice. 

Prior to joining the Clingendael Academy, Paula worked a little shy of two years at the International Criminal Court (2022-2024) and at the Dutch Supreme Audit Institution (2021-2022). 

My work

0
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